TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084058
Played Sep 6Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11411241––––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 4-1
Point 33 set 3, 4-1 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 54.0%
33 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 16–6 Myroslav Loboda Myroslav Loboda has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-6 in 22
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1579 vs Loboda 1642
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 60% vs Loboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 70% vs Loboda 50%
Khomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Loboda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.80 / Loboda 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Loboda)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084058
Khomenko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 41 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 51 of 62
Loboda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 90 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko6wins
AwayLoboda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayLoboda28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko3Loboda7n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Khomenko6Loboda4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S3Khomenko5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S4Khomenko6Loboda4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S5Khomenko3Loboda1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoLobodaK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.7+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 859 vs 482 / 93255.1%51.7%473 / 859 vs 482 / 932Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaKhomenko 1.80/Loboda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 25 · 23:30M. Khomenko—8101111113M. Loboda—11129832
WDec 19 · 10:05M. Khomenko—611911113M. Loboda—11511782
WDec 18 · 19:35M. Khomenko—21111113M. Loboda—112741
LDec 18 · 03:30M. Khomenko—116961M. Loboda—71111113
LDec 12 · 06:05M. Khomenko—581461M. Loboda—111112113
WDec 11 · 17:35M. Khomenko—1211211113M. Loboda—14811452
LDec 10 · 22:00M. Khomenko—1114351M. Loboda—61611113
LNov 21 · 12:05M. Khomenko—91111552M. Loboda—116911113
WNov 20 · 16:05M. Khomenko—11114113M. Loboda—811191
WNov 19 · 22:00M. Khomenko—131111113M. Loboda—152851
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113WSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
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