TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079236
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012611––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 54.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 15–15 Maksym Khomenko Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1515 vs Khomenko 1578
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 60% vs Khomenko 80%
Khomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 60% vs Khomenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -1 · Khomenko +3
Khomenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 2.20 / Khomenko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Khomenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079236
Korobko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Khomenko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko5wins
AwayKhomenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko100%3 of 3
AwayKhomenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Korobko5Khomenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Korobko8Khomenko2n = 10Korobko took 8 of 10
S4Korobko5Khomenko4n = 9Korobko took 5 of 9
S5Korobko1Khomenko2n = 3Khomenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoKhomenkoKorobko − KhomenkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.8+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 480 vs 472 / 85746%55.1%221 / 480 vs 472 / 857Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKorobko 2.20/Khomenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 02:00V. Korobko—911119113M. Khomenko—11581162
LJun 21 · 24:00V. Korobko—691111122M. Khomenko—111146143
LMay 30 · 22:30V. Korobko—761151M. Khomenko—11119113
LApr 26 · 01:00V. Korobko—451141M. Khomenko—11119113
LApr 11 · 22:30V. Korobko—411441M. Khomenko—11511113
LMar 27 · 01:45V. Korobko—67111192M. Khomenko—111153113
WMar 22 · 03:00V. Korobko—11911143M. Khomenko—9113121
WMar 8 · 03:30V. Korobko—1111123M. Khomenko—58100
WFeb 21 · 21:30V. Korobko—21111113M. Khomenko—117541
WFeb 8 · 17:35V. Korobko—11119123M. Khomenko—8411101
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113WSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.