TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067506
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113311911––––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:11 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 9–11 Volodymyr Korobko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:11What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Korobko
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1544 vs Korobko 1464
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Korobko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 60% vs Korobko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +1 · Korobko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.80 / Korobko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Storozhenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13067506
Storozhenko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 150 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it69% 96 of 140
Korobko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 38 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko4wins
AwayKorobko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKorobko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko80%4 of 5
AwayKorobko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko5Korobko5n = 10split evenly
S2Storozhenko3Korobko7n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10
S3Storozhenko7Korobko3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S4Storozhenko3Korobko3n = 6split evenly
S5Storozhenko1Korobko3n = 4Korobko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoKorobkoS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.337.8−3.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 458 vs 218 / 47652%45.8%238 / 458 vs 218 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.934.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.80/Korobko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 24:15O. Storozhenko—5760V. Korobko—1111113
WAug 17 · 23:00O. Storozhenko—11513123V. Korobko—41111101
LAug 10 · 20:30O. Storozhenko—11781132V. Korobko—711119113
LAug 1 · 23:45O. Storozhenko—451281V. Korobko—111110113
LJul 25 · 20:45O. Storozhenko—107111152V. Korobko—121187113
WJul 23 · 20:45O. Storozhenko—1111113V. Korobko—9770
LJul 17 · 20:45O. Storozhenko—81111712V. Korobko—117911113
LJul 10 · 21:15O. Storozhenko—9750V. Korobko—1111113
WJun 23 · 02:00O. Storozhenko—1111113V. Korobko—7370
WJun 5 · 01:15O. Storozhenko—118115113V. Korobko—91161192
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
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