TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13080011
Played Sep 5Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114611611119117
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 87 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 23–32 Oleksandr Storozhenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-32 in 55
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1626 vs Storozhenko 1556
Tebenko
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 40% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 60% vs Storozhenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko -3 · Storozhenko +1
Tebenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13080011
Tebenko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 132 of 274
Down 0–1, comes back32% 48 of 149
Down 0–2, comes back13% 11 of 82
Storozhenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 280
Up 2–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it69% 98 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko60%3 of 5
AwayStorozhenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tebenko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Tebenko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Tebenko2Storozhenko4n = 6Storozhenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoStorozhenkoT − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.934.1−2.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 820 vs 242 / 46647.9%51.9%393 / 820 vs 242 / 466Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoTebenko 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tebenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko—31212672O. Storozhenko—11101011113
WSep 3 · 23:15Y. Tebenko—1111113O. Storozhenko—9790
LAug 31 · 05:35Y. Tebenko—10860O. Storozhenko—1211113
WAug 28 · 23:45Y. Tebenko—1111113O. Storozhenko—5770
LAug 26 · 08:05Y. Tebenko—115481O. Storozhenko—41111113
WAug 25 · 13:35Y. Tebenko—51111113O. Storozhenko—116971
LAug 21 · 02:45Y. Tebenko—761181O. Storozhenko—11117113
WAug 18 · 15:35Y. Tebenko—11115113O. Storozhenko—341171
LAug 15 · 01:00Y. Tebenko—4660O. Storozhenko—1111113
LAug 12 · 08:05Y. Tebenko—1181081O. Storozhenko—81112113
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113LSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko2.501011781M. Khomenko1.5012911113LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113WSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162LSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862WSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.