TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078836
Played Sep 5Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012511117114117
Yaroslav Tebenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Tebenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Yaroslav Tebenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Yaroslav Tebenko at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 22–23 Yaroslav Tebenko Volodymyr Korobko has won 22 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tebenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-23 in 45
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1517 vs Tebenko 1640
Tebenko
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 60% vs Tebenko 40%
Korobko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 60% vs Tebenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko +2 · Tebenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tebenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tebenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.83 / Tebenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tebenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13078836
Korobko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Tebenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko3wins
AwayTebenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTebenko75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko2Tebenko8n = 10Tebenko took 8 of 10
S2Korobko4Tebenko6n = 10Tebenko took 6 of 10
S3Korobko6Tebenko4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S4Korobko3Tebenko6n = 9Tebenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoTebenkoK − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.142.9−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoTebenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 479 vs 393 / 82046.1%47.9%221 / 479 vs 393 / 820Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TebenkoKorobko 1.83/Tebenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tebenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko—1051111113Y. Tebenko—12117472
LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko—96110Y. Tebenko—1111133
LAug 25 · 24:30V. Korobko—611771Y. Tebenko—11911113
WAug 20 · 22:45V. Korobko—12811113Y. Tebenko—1011981
LAug 10 · 22:30V. Korobko—20119892Y. Tebenko—1881111113
LAug 3 · 22:30V. Korobko—791141Y. Tebenko—11117113
LAug 1 · 21:15V. Korobko—2614101Y. Tebenko—111112123
WJul 25 · 22:45V. Korobko—111112113Y. Tebenko—1381091
LJul 20 · 22:30V. Korobko—6141091Y. Tebenko—111212113
LJul 18 · 02:15V. Korobko—921181Y. Tebenko—11119113
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113LSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko2.501011781M. Khomenko1.5012911113LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113WSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173WSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162LSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862WSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.