TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079188
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykhailo Potapov
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119117––––
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 79.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Potapov 15–6 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Potapov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-6 in 21
Potapov
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1534 vs Korobko 1503
Potapov
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 40% vs Korobko 60%
Korobko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 40% vs Korobko 60%
Korobko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov +1 · Korobko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 1.22 / Korobko 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Potapov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079188
Potapov1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 46 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Korobko4.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 38 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotapov10wins
AwayKorobko0wins
Potapov leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotapov100%10 of 10
AwayKorobkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potapov10Korobko0n = 10Potapov took 10 of 10
S2Potapov9Korobko1n = 10Potapov took 9 of 10
S3Potapov9Korobko1n = 10Potapov took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotapovKorobkoP − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match35.520.4+15.1per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 417 vs 221 / 48147%46%196 / 417 vs 221 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovPotapov 1.22/Korobko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 24:15M. Potapov—11149113V. Korobko—4121131
WSep 1 · 01:00M. Potapov—11811113V. Korobko—711921
WAug 21 · 02:15M. Potapov—1111113V. Korobko—9830
WAug 18 · 24:30M. Potapov—1111133V. Korobko—83110
WAug 11 · 24:00M. Potapov—1111123V. Korobko—86100
WJul 23 · 22:45M. Potapov—1111113V. Korobko—4530
WMar 17 · 24:00M. Potapov—1111113V. Korobko—8450
WDec 21 · 21:00M. Potapov—1111113V. Korobko—8240
WNov 25 · 01:30M. Potapov—1111133V. Korobko—44110
WNov 18 · 02:00M. Potapov—1111113V. Korobko—7640
M. Potapov10
WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152LSep 4 · 02:45O. Budnikov1.731111113M. Potapov2.004880
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
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