TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084635
Played Sep 6Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1517711311––––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 64 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 63.9%
64 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1714 vs Khomenko 1618
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 80% vs Khomenko 60%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Khomenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +4 · Khomenko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.44 / Khomenko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Hrekh)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084635
Hrekh1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 169 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it78% 131 of 169
Khomenko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 67 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back30% 30 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime261 / 506 vs 473 / 85951.6%55.1%261 / 506 vs 473 / 859Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.44/Khomenko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Khomenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Hrekh10
WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451LSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113WSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko2.501011781M. Khomenko1.5012911113
Upcoming Matches
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