TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079144
Played Sep 5Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113118118311116
Denys Maltsev
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 76.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 72–21 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 21 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-21 in 93
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 51 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1557 vs Maltsev 1467
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 80% vs Maltsev 0%
Khomenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 60% vs Maltsev 30%
Khomenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Maltsev -5
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.36 / Maltsev 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13079144
Khomenko1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 70 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it80% 48 of 60
Maltsev3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko7wins
AwayMaltsev3wins
Khomenko leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%7 of 7
AwayMaltsev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko7Maltsev3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Khomenko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Khomenko10Maltsev0n = 10Khomenko took 10 of 10
S4Khomenko2Maltsev3n = 5Maltsev took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoMaltsevK − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.927.1+7.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 855 vs 449 / 88155%51%470 / 855 vs 449 / 881Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.36/Maltsev 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 05:05M. Khomenko—881151D. Maltsev—11114113
WAug 30 · 24:00M. Khomenko—1112113D. Maltsev—21080
WMar 28 · 01:45M. Khomenko—11412113D. Maltsev—5111061
LMar 26 · 23:45M. Khomenko—1051191D. Maltsev—12113113
LMar 21 · 21:30M. Khomenko—1061281D. Maltsev—121110113
WOct 5 · 07:55M. Khomenko—111511113D. Maltsev—517571
WOct 4 · 16:25M. Khomenko—111183D. Maltsev—6420
WSep 28 · 10:55M. Khomenko—111193D. Maltsev—7470
WSep 27 · 16:25M. Khomenko—1111113D. Maltsev—4750
WSep 24 · 08:35M. Khomenko—1111103D. Maltsev—6690
M. Khomenko10
WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113WSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 1 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.5711611113D. Maltsev2.25711771
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