TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073007
Played Sep 4Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111131113911––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 60.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 12–36 Ivan Pytsko Denys Maltsev has won 12 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-36 in 48
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 24 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1511 vs Pytsko 1570
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -3 · Pytsko +1
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.25 / Pytsko 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Pytsko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13073007
Maltsev2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Pytsko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite45% won 41 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev7wins
AwayPytsko3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev80%4 of 5
AwayPytsko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S2Maltsev6Pytsko4n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S3Maltsev5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Maltsev5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S5Maltsev4Pytsko1n = 5Maltsev took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevPytskoM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.7+1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 882 vs 323 / 58251.3%55.5%452 / 882 vs 323 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMaltsev 2.25/Pytsko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 18:35D. Maltsev—711771I. Pytsko—11611113
WAug 25 · 01:30D. Maltsev—111110113I. Pytsko—871271
WAug 5 · 10:05D. Maltsev—111148113I. Pytsko—56111132
WJul 17 · 22:15D. Maltsev—291311143I. Pytsko—1111115122
WJul 15 · 06:05D. Maltsev—11119113I. Pytsko—671171
LJul 14 · 17:05D. Maltsev—5101191I. Pytsko—11128113
WJul 13 · 21:00D. Maltsev—611128113I. Pytsko—117101162
WJul 10 · 20:45D. Maltsev—11125123I. Pytsko—81011101
WMar 4 · 09:35D. Maltsev—951111123I. Pytsko—111157102
LMar 2 · 23:00D. Maltsev—11611792I. Pytsko—811611113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113LSep 1 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.5711611113D. Maltsev2.25711771
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862WSep 1 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.5711611113D. Maltsev2.25711771
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