TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073296
Played Sep 4Finished
Oleksandr Budnikov
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Budnikov to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Budnikov above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Budnikov at 62.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Budnikov 18–3 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 3 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Budnikov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-3 in 21
Budnikov
Correct
gap of 15 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budnikov 1564 vs Pytsko 1576
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budnikov 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budnikov 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Budnikov -1 · Pytsko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Budnikov) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudnikov 1.57 / Pytsko 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Budnikov)+4.3pp
Setka Cup · #13073296
Budnikov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 37 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Pytsko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 23 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudnikov8wins
AwayPytsko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBudnikov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudnikov100%6 of 6
AwayPytsko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budnikov6Pytsko4n = 10Budnikov took 6 of 10
S2Budnikov8Pytsko2n = 10Budnikov took 8 of 10
S3Budnikov3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Budnikov8Pytsko0n = 8Budnikov took 8 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudnikovPytskoB − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.635.5+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudnikovPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 552 vs 325 / 58541.9%55.6%231 / 552 vs 325 / 585Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnikovBudnikov 1.57/Pytsko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Budnikov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Budnikov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov—1111113I. Pytsko—7950
WAug 25 · 24:00O. Budnikov—51111113I. Pytsko—116581
WMay 14 · 09:05O. Budnikov—11136123I. Pytsko—71111101
WMay 13 · 15:05O. Budnikov—11119113I. Pytsko—881171
LMay 12 · 23:00O. Budnikov—31050I. Pytsko—1112113
WApr 7 · 08:05O. Budnikov—12128113I. Pytsko—10101191
LApr 6 · 14:35O. Budnikov—811611102I. Pytsko—114115123
WApr 6 · 02:00O. Budnikov—111211113I. Pytsko—9101351
WMar 30 · 01:00O. Budnikov—911511113I. Pytsko—11611792
WFeb 12 · 08:05O. Budnikov—11911113I. Pytsko—711871
O. Budnikov10
WSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133WSep 4 · 14:25O. Budnikov2.101211133Y. Tebenko1.67108110WSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152WSep 4 · 02:45O. Budnikov1.731111113M. Potapov2.004880LSep 4 · 24:45O. Storozhenko1.5711911113O. Budnikov2.25411721WSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541LSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110LSep 3 · 21:15O. Budnikov2.10117741Y. Tebenko1.6791111113WAug 29 · 02:15I. Fashchevskyi2.101071961O. Budnikov1.67121117113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862LSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
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