TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072993
Played Sep 4Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214911115911––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 58.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 39–50 Myroslav Loboda Iurii Hrekh has won 39 of their 89 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-50 in 89
Loboda
Correct
gap of 11 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1645 vs Loboda 1671
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 40% vs Loboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 40% vs Loboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +1 · Loboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.20 / Loboda 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Loboda)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13072993
Hrekh2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 87 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Loboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it89% 93 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it70% 135 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayLoboda6wins
Loboda leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekhn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLoboda75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh4Loboda6n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh3Loboda2n = 5Hrekh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhLobodaH − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.634.5−1.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 501 vs 486 / 93951.3%51.8%257 / 501 vs 486 / 939Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaHrekh 2.20/Loboda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh—71211113M. Loboda—1110571
WSep 3 · 02:00I. Hrekh—101111143M. Loboda—1286121
LAug 31 · 02:15I. Hrekh—6990M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 28 · 10:35I. Hrekh—591161M. Loboda—11115113
WAug 27 · 18:05I. Hrekh—1111113M. Loboda—3790
LAug 27 · 02:00I. Hrekh—10960M. Loboda—1211113
LAug 21 · 10:35I. Hrekh—8790M. Loboda—1111113
LAug 17 · 02:15I. Hrekh—101390M. Loboda—1215113
LAug 14 · 10:35I. Hrekh—571271M. Loboda—111110113
WAug 13 · 18:05I. Hrekh—11125113M. Loboda—8101171
I. Hrekh10
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780WSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.50114131072Y. Vorsuliak2.507111112113LSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113LSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
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