TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13072869
Played Sep 4Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151191113811911
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 20–15 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-15 in 35
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1658 vs Shchegelskyi 1588
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 30% vs Shchegelskyi 60%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -2 · Shchegelskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.67 / Shchegelskyi 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13072869
Loboda1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 168 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it89% 93 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it70% 135 of 193
Shchegelskyi2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 65 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back25% 24 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda7wins
AwayShchegelskyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda100%7 of 7
AwayShchegelskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda7Shchegelskyi3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Loboda4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S3Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Loboda4Shchegelskyi3n = 7Loboda took 4 of 7
S5Loboda3Shchegelskyi1n = 4Loboda took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.037.7+4.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 936 vs 473 / 89151.7%53.1%484 / 936 vs 473 / 891Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.67/Shchegelskyi 2.10
Miss
What we said
59%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 16:35M. Loboda—1111106113D. Shchegelskyi—79121182
WAug 16 · 22:45M. Loboda—1191417113D. Shchegelskyi—311121972
LAug 14 · 09:35M. Loboda—88121172D. Shchegelskyi—1111108113
LAug 12 · 23:00M. Loboda—10780D. Shchegelskyi—1211113
WAug 10 · 22:45M. Loboda—1141211123D. Shchegelskyi—711148102
WAug 9 · 22:45M. Loboda—12611113D. Shchegelskyi—1011971
WAug 5 · 21:30M. Loboda—1111113D. Shchegelskyi—8680
WJun 28 · 22:45M. Loboda—1211113D. Shchegelskyi—10350
WJun 27 · 22:45M. Loboda—111211113D. Shchegelskyi—414521
LJun 26 · 09:35M. Loboda—8116111D. Shchegelskyi—11611133
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.2571211113M. Loboda1.571110571
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113
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