TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088750
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187111192111513
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Shchegelskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 98 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Dmytro Shchegelskyi at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 8–2 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shchegelskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Shchegelskyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1492 vs Rodin 1509
Rodin
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 0% vs Rodin 20%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 10% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -5 · Rodin -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Shchegelskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 1.73 / Rodin 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Shchegelskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088750
Shchegelskyi1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 108 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it75% 68 of 91
Rodin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 30 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi8wins
AwayRodin2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderShchegelskyi leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi100%5 of 5
AwayRodin40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S2Shchegelskyi5Rodin5n = 10split evenly
S3Shchegelskyi9Rodin1n = 10Shchegelskyi took 9 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi3Rodin6n = 9Rodin took 6 of 9
S5Shchegelskyi5Rodin1n = 6Shchegelskyi took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiRodinS − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.9+0.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime475 / 902 vs 172 / 29452.7%58.5%475 / 902 vs 172 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShchegelskyiShchegelskyi 1.73/Rodin 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Shchegelskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi—117112153O. Rodin—811911132
LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—631181O. Rodin—1111793
WSep 3 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—6111115113O. Rodin—11881782
WAug 30 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi—41111113O. Rodin—118661
WAug 28 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi—11711113O. Rodin—611981
WAug 27 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi—114912113O. Rodin—911111092
WAug 27 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi—1161111113O. Rodin—91171382
WAug 3 · 08:35D. Shchegelskyi—1111123O. Rodin—65100
LAug 2 · 14:05D. Shchegelskyi—61111792O. Rodin—118411113
WAug 2 · 03:00D. Shchegelskyi—611119113O. Rodin—11891192
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581LSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113
O. Rodin10
LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631WSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.4413441182O. Rodin2.631111119113
Upcoming Matches
D. Shchegelskyi
O. Rodin
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.