TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067395
Played Sep 3Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
2111412116113––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:38 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 61.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 2–1 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1678 vs Rodin 1554
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 20% vs Rodin 40%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Rodin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.53 / Rodin 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Loboda)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067395
Loboda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 166 of 308
Up 2–0, closes it89% 92 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it70% 134 of 191
Rodin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 26 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeLoboda2wins
AwayRodin1wins
Loboda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda2Rodin1n = 3Loboda took 2 of 3
S2Loboda1Rodin2n = 3Rodin took 2 of 3
S3Loboda1Rodin2n = 3Rodin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricLobodaRodinL − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.030.3+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 938 vs 169 / 28451.7%59.5%485 / 938 vs 169 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.53/Rodin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 28 · 08:35M. Loboda—11911113O. Rodin—411481
WAug 27 · 16:05M. Loboda—11125113O. Rodin—4101161
LAug 27 · 24:00M. Loboda—6780O. Rodin—1111113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113
O. Rodin10
LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161WSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.4413441182O. Rodin2.631111119113LSep 3 · 14:05O. Rodin1.8011119862Y. Vorsuliak1.91371111113
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