TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084433
Played Sep 6Finished
Oleksii Rodin
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118115117––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Rodin above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 63.6%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Rodin 1–3 Myroslav Loboda Oleksii Rodin has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rodin 1598 vs Loboda 1669
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rodin 60% vs Loboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rodin 50% vs Loboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rodin +2 · Loboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRodin 2.38 / Loboda 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Loboda)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084433
Rodin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 28 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back24% 5 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Loboda1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 171 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it88% 95 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it70% 138 of 197
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeRodin1wins
AwayLoboda3wins
Loboda leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rodin2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
S2Rodin2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
S3Rodin2Loboda2n = 4split evenly
S4Rodin0Loboda3n = 3Loboda took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricRodinLobodaR − LBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match30.835.0−4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRodinLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 287 vs 482 / 93159.6%51.8%171 / 287 vs 482 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaRodin 2.38/Loboda 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 17:05O. Rodin—1112631M. Loboda—21411113
LAug 28 · 08:35O. Rodin—411481M. Loboda—11911113
LAug 27 · 16:05O. Rodin—4101161M. Loboda—11125113
WAug 27 · 24:00O. Rodin—1111113M. Loboda—6780
O. Rodin10
LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793WSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631WSep 3 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.4413441182O. Rodin2.631111119113LSep 3 · 14:05O. Rodin1.8011119862Y. Vorsuliak1.91371111113
M. Loboda10
WSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113LSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210LSep 6 · 12:05I. Hrekh2.2011616113M. Loboda1.617111451WSep 4 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.201291191M. Loboda1.6114115113WSep 4 · 09:35M. Loboda1.44111411133Y. Vorsuliak2.637166111WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda1.67111111892D. Shchegelskyi2.10591311113LSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113WSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda1.5321411113O. Rodin2.381112631
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