TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451393
Played Aug 18Finished
Oleh Hudyma
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911911811––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Hudyma above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Hudyma 1–1 Oleksandr Storozhenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hudyma 1484 vs Storozhenko 1555
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudyma 20% vs Storozhenko 80%
Storozhenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudyma 10% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudyma -2 · Storozhenko +4
Storozhenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudyma 2.00 / Storozhenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12451393
Hudyma2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Storozhenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 136 of 246
Up 2–0, closes it87% 52 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it68% 90 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHudyma1wins
AwayStorozhenko1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHudymaStorozhenkoH − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match49.545.5+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudymaStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 129 vs 213 / 41055.8%52%72 / 129 vs 213 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoHudyma 2.00/Storozhenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 11 · 15:05O. Hudyma—141199113O. Storozhenko—126111172
LMar 24 · 16:05O. Hudyma—710111162O. Storozhenko—111246113
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
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