TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12451491
Played Aug 18Finished
Oleh Hudyma
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119811711911––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleh Hudyma to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Hudyma above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 77 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleh Hudyma at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Hudyma 3–3 Ivan Fashchevskyi Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:42What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hudyma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudyma 1442 vs Fashchevskyi 1576
Fashchevskyi
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudyma 0% vs Fashchevskyi 20%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudyma 10% vs Fashchevskyi 30%
Fashchevskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudyma -5 · Fashchevskyi -1
Hudyma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudyma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudyma 1.80 / Fashchevskyi 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hudyma)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #12451491
Hudyma1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 16 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Fashchevskyi1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 79 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHudyma3wins
AwayFashchevskyi3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudyma60%3 of 5
AwayFashchevskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudyma5Fashchevskyi1n = 6Hudyma took 5 of 6
S2Hudyma4Fashchevskyi2n = 6Hudyma took 4 of 6
S3Hudyma1Fashchevskyi5n = 6Fashchevskyi took 5 of 6
S4Hudyma2Fashchevskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricHudymaFashchevskyiH − FBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match36.337.3−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudymaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 133 vs 260 / 49354.1%52.7%72 / 133 vs 260 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudymaHudyma 1.80/Fashchevskyi 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hudyma · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma—118791I. Fashchevskyi—91111113
LAug 11 · 16:35O. Hudyma—7650I. Fashchevskyi—1111113
WApr 18 · 16:55O. Hudyma—1111103I. Fashchevskyi—6880
WApr 4 · 17:55O. Hudyma—11147113I. Fashchevskyi—5121171
LFeb 14 · 15:25O. Hudyma—13119982I. Fashchevskyi—1141111113
WJan 31 · 17:55O. Hudyma—14112133I. Fashchevskyi—12911121
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
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