TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067449
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1121188111012811
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 57.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 21–18 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-18 in 39
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1568 vs Fashchevskyi 1440
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 70% vs Fashchevskyi 30%
Storozhenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +2 · Fashchevskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.67 / Fashchevskyi 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Storozhenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067449
Storozhenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 150 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it88% 57 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it69% 96 of 140
Fashchevskyi2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 87 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko7wins
AwayFashchevskyi3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayFashchevskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Storozhenko6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S3Storozhenko4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Storozhenko7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoFashchevskyiS − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.135.9+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 455 vs 275 / 54052.1%50.9%237 / 455 vs 275 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.67/Fashchevskyi 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 06:35O. Storozhenko—117511113I. Fashchevskyi—51111782
WAug 30 · 03:00O. Storozhenko—81412113I. Fashchevskyi—11121011
WAug 28 · 21:45O. Storozhenko—11115113I. Fashchevskyi—681161
LAug 26 · 06:05O. Storozhenko—811961I. Fashchevskyi—11311113
WAug 25 · 17:38O. Storozhenko—81111113I. Fashchevskyi—118651
LAug 25 · 16:35O. Storozhenko—115991I. Fashchevskyi—81111113
WAug 20 · 22:15O. Storozhenko—13115113I. Fashchevskyi—1131181
WAug 18 · 19:05O. Storozhenko—11811123I. Fashchevskyi—6116101
LAug 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko—7111081I. Fashchevskyi—11612113
WAug 12 · 11:35O. Storozhenko—16811113I. Fashchevskyi—1411771
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
Upcoming Matches
O. Storozhenko
I. Fashchevskyi
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.