TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073960
Played Sep 4Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141012119119––
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 15–6 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fashchevskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-6 in 21
Fashchevskyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1430 vs Sydorchuk 1534
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Sydorchuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Sydorchuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -3 · Sydorchuk -1
Fashchevskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.73 / Sydorchuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13073960
Fashchevskyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 83 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it85% 28 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Sydorchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 32 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi8wins
AwaySydorchuk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi100%5 of 5
AwaySydorchuk40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Fashchevskyi6Sydorchuk4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi6Sydorchuk4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi5Sydorchuk3n = 8Fashchevskyi took 5 of 8
S5Fashchevskyi3Sydorchuk0n = 3Fashchevskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiSydorchukF − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.238.4+2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 544 vs 152 / 28150.7%54.1%276 / 544 vs 152 / 281Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiFashchevskyi 1.73/Sydorchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 01:00I. Fashchevskyi—961191O. Sydorchuk—11119113
WJun 6 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi—121211113O. Sydorchuk—10101341
LMay 22 · 22:45I. Fashchevskyi—10850O. Sydorchuk—1211113
WMay 20 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—811411113O. Sydorchuk—11611572
WMay 19 · 14:25I. Fashchevskyi—91111123O. Sydorchuk—1157101
WMay 16 · 24:45I. Fashchevskyi—1161113113O. Sydorchuk—81181592
WMay 9 · 16:25I. Fashchevskyi—611116113O. Sydorchuk—11471192
WMay 8 · 22:45I. Fashchevskyi—11911153O. Sydorchuk—9117131
WMay 3 · 06:55I. Fashchevskyi—11116113O. Sydorchuk—691191
WMay 2 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi—1116113O. Sydorchuk—81480
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91711511113I. Pytsko1.8011911862
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103
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