TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078915
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315117119611410
Ihor Kvak
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Sydorchuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-10
Point 97 set 5, 4-10 — our read held Oleksandr Sydorchuk at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 1–2 Ihor Kvak Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sydorchuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1487 vs Kvak 1468
Sydorchuk
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Kvak 0%
Sydorchuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Kvak 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -2 · Kvak -5
Kvak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sydorchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 1.80 / Kvak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sydorchuk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13078915
Sydorchuk1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it79% 50 of 63
Kvak1.91
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSydorchuk1wins
AwayKvak2wins
Kvak leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Kvak2n = 3Kvak took 2 of 3
S2Sydorchuk2Kvak1n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
S3Sydorchuk2Kvak1n = 3Sydorchuk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSydorchukKvakS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.333.7−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 286 vs 30 / 5453.5%55.6%153 / 286 vs 30 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorchukSydorchuk 1.80/Kvak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sydorchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kvak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 12 · 04:25O. Sydorchuk—1111113I. Kvak—9550
LJul 11 · 13:55O. Sydorchuk—471191I. Kvak—11119113
LJun 27 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk—6115111I. Kvak—11511133
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
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