TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060654
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Kvak
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113711911711––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Kvak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIhor Kvak above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ihor Kvak at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Kvak 3–1 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kvak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kvak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kvak 1479 vs Slozka 1495
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvak 0% vs Slozka 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvak 10% vs Slozka 30%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvak -5 · Slozka -2
Kvak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kvak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvak 1.80 / Slozka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kvak)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060654
Kvak1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 22 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Slozka1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 92 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKvak3wins
AwaySlozka1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderKvak leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kvak2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
S2Kvak2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
S3Kvak2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
S4Kvak4Slozka0n = 4Kvak took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKvakSlozkaK − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.040.8+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvakSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 53 vs 332 / 75656.6%43.9%30 / 53 vs 332 / 756Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvakKvak 1.80/Slozka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kvak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak—24131182M. Slozka—1111119113
WAug 16 · 08:55I. Kvak—71112113M. Slozka—1141071
WAug 2 · 11:25I. Kvak—11119133M. Slozka—9211111
WAug 1 · 16:25I. Kvak—113713113M. Slozka—611111162
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
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