TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060487
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Kvak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114311911811––
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Kvak above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 68 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 54.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Kvak 0–1 Mykhailo Potapov Ihor Kvak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Potapov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kvak 1468 vs Potapov 1576
Potapov
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvak 20% vs Potapov 40%
Potapov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvak 30% vs Potapov 70%
Potapov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvak -3 · Potapov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Potapov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvak 2.00 / Potapov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Potapov)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13060487
Kvak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Potapov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 46 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKvak0wins
AwayPotapov1wins
Potapov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKvakPotapovK − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match31.037.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvakPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 54 vs 192 / 40855.6%47.1%30 / 54 vs 192 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovKvak 2.00/Potapov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak—113981M. Potapov—41111113
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
M. Potapov10
WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.