TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060316
Played Sep 2Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711411118117
Ihor Kvak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Kvak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Ihor Kvak at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 1–0 Ihor Kvak Ihor Kvak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kvak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1430 vs Kvak 1468
Kvak
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Kvak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 10% vs Kvak 30%
Kvak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -1 · Kvak -4
Kvak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kvak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.83 / Kvak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kvak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060316
Fashchevskyi1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kvak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFashchevskyi1wins
AwayKvak0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricFashchevskyiKvakF − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.044.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 544 vs 30 / 5450.7%55.6%276 / 544 vs 30 / 54Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.934.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KvakFashchevskyi 1.83/Kvak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kvak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi—117411113I. Kvak—71111872
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541WSep 3 · 21:45O. Storozhenko1.67111181082I. Fashchevskyi2.10281112113LSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 09:35I. Pytsko1.508121111113I. Kvak2.50111013482LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
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