TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061141
Played Sep 2Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81112101113114118
Ihor Kvak
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Ihor Kvak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 59.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 2–0 Ihor Kvak Ihor Kvak has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1574 vs Kvak 1487
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 60% vs Kvak 0%
Pytsko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 70% vs Kvak 20%
Pytsko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -2 · Kvak -5
Kvak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvak form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.50 / Kvak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13061141
Pytsko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite45% won 40 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it71% 32 of 45
Kvak2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog62% won 8 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePytsko2wins
AwayKvak0wins
Pytsko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPytskoKvakP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.023.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoKvakBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 580 vs 30 / 5255.7%57.7%323 / 580 vs 30 / 52Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.234.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.50/Kvak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 05:25I. Pytsko—1111113I. Kvak—5560
WAug 16 · 05:25I. Pytsko—11118113I. Kvak—961141
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131LSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko1.919111311113I. Pytsko1.8011915862
I. Kvak10
WSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360LSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 2 · 11:35I. Kvak1.80117971M. Slozka1.9131111113LSep 2 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.83117411113I. Kvak1.8371111872LSep 2 · 06:35I. Kvak2.00113981M. Potapov1.7341111113LSep 2 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.4471111113I. Kvak2.63117991LAug 29 · 10:55I. Kvak1.5724131182M. Slozka2.251111119113
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