TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084122
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115117116––
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 60.8%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 3–1 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Slozka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1572 vs Sydorchuk 1427
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Sydorchuk 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Sydorchuk 30%
Slozka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Sydorchuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.53 / Sydorchuk 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Slozka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084122
Slozka1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Sydorchuk2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlozka3wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
Slozka leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%3 of 3
AwaySydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka3Sydorchuk1n = 4Slozka took 3 of 4
S2Slozka4Sydorchuk0n = 4Slozka took 4 of 4
S3Slozka2Sydorchuk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSlozkaSydorchukSlozka − SydorchukBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.525.8+7.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 768 vs 155 / 29244.5%53.1%342 / 768 vs 155 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.53/Sydorchuk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 03:15M. Slozka—11114113O. Sydorchuk—621141
WAug 1 · 01:15M. Slozka—1111113O. Sydorchuk—7680
WMar 1 · 07:25M. Slozka—1111113O. Sydorchuk—8460
LFeb 7 · 16:25M. Slozka—5113121O. Sydorchuk—11511143
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
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