TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084223
Played Sep 6Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171113118115––
Taras Gil
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Taras Gil at 59.3%
77 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 5–6 Taras Gil Mykola Slozka has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:32What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1579 vs Gil 1497
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Gil 60%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Gil 50%
Slozka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +2 · Gil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.25 / Gil 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Gil)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084223
Slozka2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Gil1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwayGil5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka80%4 of 5
AwayGil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka5Gil5n = 10split evenly
S2Slozka2Gil8n = 10Gil took 8 of 10
S3Slozka4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S4Slozka7Gil2n = 9Slozka took 7 of 9
S5Slozka3Gil2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaGilS − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.341.1+1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaGilBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 767 vs 122 / 21444.5%57%341 / 767 vs 122 / 214Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilSlozka 2.25/Gil 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka—111111113T. Gil—713851
LSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka—5111561T. Gil—11917113
LAug 15 · 16:55M. Slozka—610111182T. Gil—111275113
LAug 9 · 05:25M. Slozka—6890T. Gil—1111113
LAug 8 · 12:55M. Slozka—912121132T. Gil—1110146113
WFeb 22 · 09:25M. Slozka—11881193T. Gil—71111832
WFeb 21 · 17:55M. Slozka—10131111113T. Gil—12156722
WJan 31 · 12:55M. Slozka—119811113T. Gil—71111762
WJan 25 · 09:25M. Slozka—11811103T. Gil—711651
LJan 17 · 13:55M. Slozka—155581T. Gil—131111113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113WSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
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