TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073954
Played Sep 4Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411114311118118
Taras Gil
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 82 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Taras Gil at 70.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–15 Taras Gil Serhii Prus has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Gil
Wrong
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1428 vs Gil 1483
Gil
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 100% vs Gil 40%
Prus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 100% vs Gil 60%
Prus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +5 · Gil -1
Prus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.75 / Gil 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Gil)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13073954
Prus2.75
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 35 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back18% 6 of 34
Gil1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayGil8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus33.3%1 of 3
AwayGil85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S2Prus4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S3Prus2Gil8n = 10Gil took 8 of 10
S4Prus4Gil4n = 8split evenly
S5Prus1Gil2n = 3Gil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusGilP − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.240.4−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusGilBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 402 vs 118 / 21248.5%55.7%195 / 402 vs 118 / 212Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilPrus 2.75/Gil 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus—411311113T. Gil—11411882
LJul 26 · 06:55S. Prus—91171172T. Gil—119116113
LJul 25 · 17:55S. Prus—116451T. Gil—61111113
LJul 25 · 02:15S. Prus—551181T. Gil—11118113
LJul 18 · 14:55S. Prus—76111352T. Gil—1111411113
WJul 15 · 16:25S. Prus—11136123T. Gil—81111101
LFeb 21 · 18:55S. Prus—1196101T. Gil—91111123
LJan 18 · 09:55S. Prus—7970T. Gil—1111113
LJan 17 · 19:25S. Prus—711951T. Gil—11511103
LJan 10 · 09:55S. Prus—9440T. Gil—1111113
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
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