TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084643
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911411––––
Taras Gil
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 66.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 6–15 Taras Gil Serhii Prus has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Gil
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1478 vs Gil 1472
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 80% vs Gil 40%
Prus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 60% vs Gil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +3 · Gil -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.63 / Gil 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Gil)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084643
Prus2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Gil1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayGil8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus33.3%1 of 3
AwayGil85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Gil7n = 10Gil took 7 of 10
S2Prus4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S3Prus2Gil8n = 10Gil took 8 of 10
S4Prus4Gil4n = 8split evenly
S5Prus1Gil2n = 3Gil took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusGilP − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.240.4−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusGilBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 409 vs 122 / 21448.4%57%198 / 409 vs 122 / 214Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilPrus 2.63/Gil 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus—411311113T. Gil—11411882
LJul 26 · 06:55S. Prus—91171172T. Gil—119116113
LJul 25 · 17:55S. Prus—116451T. Gil—61111113
LJul 25 · 02:15S. Prus—551181T. Gil—11118113
LJul 18 · 14:55S. Prus—76111352T. Gil—1111411113
WJul 15 · 16:25S. Prus—11136123T. Gil—81111101
LFeb 21 · 18:55S. Prus—1196101T. Gil—91111123
LJan 18 · 09:55S. Prus—7970T. Gil—1111113
LJan 17 · 19:25S. Prus—711951T. Gil—11511103
LJan 10 · 09:55S. Prus—9440T. Gil—1111113
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
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