TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084169
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181182022117––
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 20-22
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 98 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Serhii Prus at 54.6%
98 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 2–0 Volodymyr Kuzmych Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuzmych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prus 1480 vs Kuzmych 1449
Prus
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 60% vs Kuzmych 40%
Prus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 40% vs Kuzmych 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Kuzmych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prus) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.83 / Kuzmych 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prus)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084169
Prus1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kuzmych1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayKuzmych0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPrus leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPrusKuzmychP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match51.546.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 409 vs 33 / 7948.2%41.8%197 / 409 vs 33 / 79Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 1.83/Kuzmych 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus—111120113V. Kuzmych—882271
WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus—117119123V. Kuzmych—811811102
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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