TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084879
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711611118115
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 90 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Serhii Prus at 55.3%
90 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 12–4 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Prus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Prus
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1446 vs Sydorchuk 1437
Prus
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 40% vs Sydorchuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 40% vs Sydorchuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -1 · Sydorchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prus form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.73 / Sydorchuk 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Prus)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084879
Prus1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Sydorchuk2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus6wins
AwaySydorchuk4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPrus leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus80%4 of 5
AwaySydorchuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus5Sydorchuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Prus4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S3Prus4Sydorchuk6n = 10Sydorchuk took 6 of 10
S4Prus4Sydorchuk5n = 9Sydorchuk took 5 of 9
S5Prus5Sydorchuk0n = 5Prus took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusSydorchukP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.141.6−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 407 vs 155 / 29248.2%53.1%196 / 407 vs 155 / 292Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 1.73/Sydorchuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus—117611113O. Sydorchuk—91111852
WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus—1111113O. Sydorchuk—6740
LSep 4 · 23:15S. Prus—511751O. Sydorchuk—11911113
LAug 1 · 02:15S. Prus—115651O. Sydorchuk—91111113
LJul 19 · 10:55S. Prus—971181O. Sydorchuk—11114113
WJul 18 · 16:25S. Prus—1113411113O. Sydorchuk—91511392
LJun 4 · 06:25S. Prus—571131O. Sydorchuk—11119113
WApr 10 · 22:45S. Prus—1211713113O. Sydorchuk—149111172
WApr 5 · 05:55S. Prus—8121011133O. Sydorchuk—1110125112
WFeb 27 · 12:55S. Prus—116119113O. Sydorchuk—51191182
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 5 · 03:15O. Sydorchuk2.20621141M. Slozka1.6111114113
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