TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079412
Played Sep 5Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111416––––
Oleh Hudyma
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Hudyma to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Oleh Hudyma below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 67 set 3, 14-16 — our read held Oleh Hudyma at 56.2%
67 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 2–3 Oleh Hudyma Serhii Prus has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hudyma
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1455 vs Hudyma 1429
Prus
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 60% vs Hudyma 20%
Prus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 50% vs Hudyma 10%
Prus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +2 · Hudyma +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hudyma) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hudyma form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.00 / Hudyma 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hudyma)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079412
Prus2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back17% 6 of 35
Hudyma1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it61% 11 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayHudyma3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHudyma leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus66.7%2 of 3
AwayHudyman = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Hudyma2n = 5Prus took 3 of 5
S2Prus1Hudyma4n = 5Hudyma took 4 of 5
S3Prus5Hudyma0n = 5Prus took 5 of 5
S4Prus1Hudyma2n = 4Hudyma took 2 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPrusHudymaP − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.238.6−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusHudymaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 406 vs 69 / 13348.3%51.9%196 / 406 vs 69 / 133Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HudymaPrus 2.00/Hudyma 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Hudyma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hudyma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 13 · 16:25S. Prus—1081121O. Hudyma—12116113
LSep 6 · 17:55S. Prus—3311101O. Hudyma—11117102
WAug 22 · 15:55S. Prus—1413113O. Hudyma—121170
WJan 30 · 19:25S. Prus—11511113O. Hudyma—811851
LJan 21 · 15:35S. Prus—119119122O. Hudyma—711911143
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113LAug 11 · 18:05O. Hudyma2.208980V. Kovalchuk1.611111113
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