TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399181
Played Aug 11Finished
Oleh Hudyma
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911811––––
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Kovalchuk to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingOleh Hudyma above · Vladyslav Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Vladyslav Kovalchuk at 60.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Hudyma 2–7 Vladyslav Kovalchuk Oleh Hudyma has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kovalchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Kovalchuk
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hudyma 1495 vs Kovalchuk 1550
Kovalchuk
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hudyma 20% vs Kovalchuk 40%
Kovalchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hudyma 10% vs Kovalchuk 40%
Kovalchuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hudyma -1 · Kovalchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kovalchuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHudyma 2.20 / Kovalchuk 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kovalchuk)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399181
Hudyma2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kovalchuk1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 81 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 59 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHudyma2wins
AwayKovalchuk7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHudyman = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKovalchuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hudyma2Kovalchuk7n = 9Kovalchuk took 7 of 9
S2Hudyma4Kovalchuk5n = 9Kovalchuk took 5 of 9
S3Hudyma2Kovalchuk7n = 9Kovalchuk took 7 of 9
S4Hudyma4Kovalchuk3n = 7Hudyma took 4 of 7
S5Hudyma1Kovalchuk2n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHudymaKovalchukH − KBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match35.240.9−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHudymaKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 133 vs 378 / 80656.4%46.9%75 / 133 vs 378 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukHudyma 2.20/Kovalchuk 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.7%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 4 · 16:05O. Hudyma—7470V. Kovalchuk—1111113
LMay 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma—413761V. Kovalchuk—111111113
LMar 24 · 17:35O. Hudyma—611951V. Kovalchuk—11911113
LDec 14 · 17:35O. Hudyma—9980V. Kovalchuk—1111113
LMay 27 · 16:05O. Hudyma—611751V. Kovalchuk—11911113
WApr 1 · 18:05O. Hudyma—11116113V. Kovalchuk—691181
LMar 25 · 15:35O. Hudyma—99111182V. Kovalchuk—111177113
WFeb 13 · 18:55O. Hudyma—1110711113V. Kovalchuk—51211792
LJan 30 · 15:25O. Hudyma—86131182V. Kovalchuk—1111115113
O. Hudyma10
WSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:55O. Hudyma1.50131179163I. Kvak2.501151111142LSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113LAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072LAug 18 · 17:05O. Hudyma1.80118791I. Fashchevskyi1.9191111113LAug 18 · 16:05O. Hudyma1.80711791Y. Parahailo1.9111611113LAug 18 · 14:35O. Hudyma1.9113311232Y. Tebenko1.801111811113LAug 18 · 12:35O. Hudyma2.00119981O. Storozhenko1.7391111113
V. Kovalchuk10
LAug 24 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk1.9112116101Y. Vorsuliak1.8014711123LAug 24 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.571111113V. Kovalchuk2.258570LAug 24 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.259380O. Rodin1.571111113LAug 24 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.101111133V. Kovalchuk1.6764110WAug 24 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.911511113O. Storozhenko1.8013660LAug 23 · 17:35V. Kovalchuk2.001014581Y. Vorsuliak1.73121211113WAug 23 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.738940V. Kovalchuk2.001111113LAug 23 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.38111011872Y. Parahailo1.53612811113LAug 23 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.106111012113V. Kovalchuk1.67118121032WAug 18 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk1.505111012113O. Hudyma2.50118121072
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