TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084019
Played Sep 6Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1121214118711119
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Kuzmych to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Kuzmych at 54.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 2–0 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kuzmych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1449 vs Sydorchuk 1409
Kuzmych
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 40% vs Sydorchuk 20%
Kuzmych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 40% vs Sydorchuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych -1 · Sydorchuk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmych) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 1.53 / Sydorchuk 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kuzmych)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084019
Kuzmych1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite19% won 3 of 16
Sydorchuk2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 34 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKuzmych2wins
AwaySydorchuk0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderKuzmych leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKuzmychSydorchukK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.035.5+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 77 vs 155 / 29441.6%52.7%32 / 77 vs 155 / 294Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmychKuzmych 1.53/Sydorchuk 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kuzmych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych—1112117113O. Sydorchuk—21481192
WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych—1211113O. Sydorchuk—10890
V. Kuzmych10
WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890LSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113LSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych1.83881181M. Slozka1.8311115113LAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103LSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.