TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13074040
Played Sep 5Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111191517611––
Taras Gil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 85 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 59.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 4–5 Taras Gil Mykola Slozka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:07What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1544 vs Gil 1504
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Gil 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 70% vs Gil 50%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +4 · Gil +2
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Gil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.25 / Gil 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Gil)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13074040
Slozka2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Gil1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSlozka4wins
AwayGil5wins
5 of 9 to a deciderGil leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka75%3 of 4
AwayGil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Gil5n = 9Gil took 5 of 9
S2Slozka2Gil7n = 9Gil took 7 of 9
S3Slozka3Gil6n = 9Gil took 6 of 9
S4Slozka6Gil2n = 8Slozka took 6 of 8
S5Slozka3Gil2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSlozkaGilS − GBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.641.1+0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaGilBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 760 vs 120 / 21444.2%56.1%336 / 760 vs 120 / 214Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilSlozka 2.25/Gil 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 15 · 16:55M. Slozka—610111182T. Gil—111275113
LAug 9 · 05:25M. Slozka—6890T. Gil—1111113
LAug 8 · 12:55M. Slozka—912121132T. Gil—1110146113
WFeb 22 · 09:25M. Slozka—11881193T. Gil—71111832
WFeb 21 · 17:55M. Slozka—10131111113T. Gil—12156722
WJan 31 · 12:55M. Slozka—119811113T. Gil—71111762
WJan 25 · 09:25M. Slozka—11811103T. Gil—711651
LJan 17 · 13:55M. Slozka—155581T. Gil—131111113
LOct 26 · 15:05M. Slozka—511971T. Gil—11711113
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 5 · 12:25O. Hudyma1.5761112592M. Slozka2.251161011113
T. Gil10
WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113LSep 4 · 20:15S. Prus2.75411311113T. Gil1.4011411882LAug 15 · 17:55O. Gazhula2.001111113T. Gil1.732660
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