TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13048785
Played Aug 31Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115115––––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Parahailo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Parahailo at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 11–9 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Parahailo
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1634 vs Storozhenko 1555
Parahailo
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 80% vs Storozhenko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo +3 · Storozhenko +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Parahailo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 1.83 / Storozhenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Parahailo)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13048785
Parahailo1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Storozhenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo4wins
AwayStorozhenko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo57.1%4 of 7
AwayStorozhenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo7Storozhenko3n = 10Parahailo took 7 of 10
S2Parahailo2Storozhenko8n = 10Storozhenko took 8 of 10
S3Parahailo5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Parahailo4Storozhenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Parahailo1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.2+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime410 / 821 vs 236 / 45449.9%52%410 / 821 vs 236 / 454Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParahailoParahailo 1.83/Storozhenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Parahailo · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo—1111113O. Storozhenko—7550
WAug 29 · 21:00Y. Parahailo—11511113O. Storozhenko—811561
WAug 26 · 05:05Y. Parahailo—11811113O. Storozhenko—811381
LAug 24 · 07:35Y. Parahailo—118101152O. Storozhenko—311129113
WAug 22 · 20:00Y. Parahailo—117511113O. Storozhenko—51111762
LAug 18 · 17:35Y. Parahailo—10121171O. Storozhenko—12146113
LAug 17 · 22:00Y. Parahailo—11125792O. Storozhenko—4101111113
LAug 14 · 22:00Y. Parahailo—1381151O. Storozhenko—15111113
LAug 12 · 05:05Y. Parahailo—9650O. Storozhenko—1111113
LAug 11 · 14:05Y. Parahailo—118371O. Storozhenko—51111113
Y. Parahailo10
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:35Y. Parahailo2.388790O. Rodin1.531111113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113LAug 30 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.531512117113Y. Parahailo2.38171051162LAug 30 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.2251111123Y. Parahailo4.001198101LAug 30 · 02:30Y. Parahailo2.0071240D. Maltsev1.731114113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151WSep 4 · 15:55O. Budnikov2.381111115112O. Storozhenko1.53471311133LSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
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