TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051385
Played Aug 31Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12104119111181214
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 102 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 13–12 Mykola Slozka Mykola Slozka has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-12 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1552 vs Slozka 1569
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Slozka 70%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi +2 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.83 / Slozka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13051385
Moshovskyi1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Slozka1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMoshovskyi leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlozka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi6Slozka4n = 10Moshovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Moshovskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Moshovskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Moshovskyi4Slozka5n = 9Slozka took 5 of 9
S5Moshovskyi5Slozka2n = 7Moshovskyi took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiSlozkaM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.443.2+1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 317 vs 331 / 74955.8%44.2%177 / 317 vs 331 / 749Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaMoshovskyi 1.83/Slozka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi—124911122M. Slozka—1011118143
WJun 17 · 06:05V. Moshovskyi—1111118113M. Slozka—98131142
WJun 16 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi—119118113M. Slozka—71191172
WJun 16 · 01:00V. Moshovskyi—7101111113M. Slozka—11126782
LJun 8 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi—512791M. Slozka—111011113
WMay 26 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi—71112113M. Slozka—1171071
LMay 25 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi—6980M. Slozka—1111113
WMay 19 · 11:35V. Moshovskyi—117118113M. Slozka—61121182
WMay 4 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi—111199123M. Slozka—931111102
LApr 28 · 11:05V. Moshovskyi—11881372M. Slozka—7111111113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113LAug 31 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi2.20817971M. Potapov1.61111511113WAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 03:15V. Moshovskyi2.0012117113O. Storozhenko1.731061161
M. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113WSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113
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