TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055494
Played Sep 1Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711117––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 67.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 3–8 Ivan Pytsko Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1520 vs Pytsko 1569
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 20% vs Pytsko 100%
Pytsko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi +1 · Pytsko +5
Pytsko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 3.25 / Pytsko 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055494
Moshovskyi3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 46 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Pytsko1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 36 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it68% 28 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi3wins
AwayPytsko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayPytsko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S3Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Moshovskyi3Pytsko2n = 5Moshovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoM − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.335.5−4.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 321 vs 321 / 57955.5%55.4%178 / 321 vs 321 / 579Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMoshovskyi 3.25/Pytsko 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moshovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi—8770I. Pytsko—1111113
LJul 18 · 02:45V. Moshovskyi—3670I. Pytsko—1111113
WJul 15 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi—11811113I. Pytsko—511991
LJul 11 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi—8870I. Pytsko—1111113
LFeb 25 · 10:25V. Moshovskyi—11129972I. Pytsko—9101111113
WFeb 11 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi—91111113I. Pytsko—117791
LFeb 4 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi—5990I. Pytsko—1111113
LFeb 1 · 05:55V. Moshovskyi—91140I. Pytsko—1113113
WJan 19 · 10:35V. Moshovskyi—11611113I. Pytsko—511641
LJan 17 · 21:00V. Moshovskyi—811791I. Pytsko—11911113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113LAug 31 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi2.20817971M. Potapov1.61111511113LAug 31 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi1.83124911122M. Slozka1.831011118143WAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 03:15V. Moshovskyi2.0012117113O. Storozhenko1.731061161
I. Pytsko10
LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131WSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113
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