TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055497
Played Sep 1Finished
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151513611711311
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Dobrovolskyi above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 93 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 73.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi 0–2 Denys Maltsev Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:06What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dobrovolskyi 1355 vs Maltsev 1538
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dobrovolskyi 0% vs Maltsev 60%
Maltsev
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dobrovolskyi 10% vs Maltsev 60%
Maltsev
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dobrovolskyi -5 · Maltsev +2
Dobrovolskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Maltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobrovolskyi 3.25 / Maltsev 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Maltsev)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055497
Dobrovolskyi3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 48 of 166
Down 0–1, comes back20% 21 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Maltsev1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 117 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it86% 76 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 94 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDobrovolskyi0wins
AwayMaltsev2wins
Maltsev leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDobrovolskyiMaltsevD − MBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.542.0−15.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobrovolskyiMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 422 vs 458 / 89247.6%51.4%201 / 422 vs 458 / 892Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevDobrovolskyi 3.25/Maltsev 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJan 1 · 16:25V. Dobrovolskyi—711331D. Maltsev—11811113
LNov 28 · 14:55V. Dobrovolskyi—171291D. Maltsev—111110113
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 22:00M. Potapov1.401111113V. Dobrovolskyi2.756940LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev1.911231181O. Storozhenko1.80101113113
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