TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051539
Played Aug 31Finished
Mykhailo Potapov
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119114––––
Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Volodymyr Dobrovolskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 69.1%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:55What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Potapov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1521 vs Dobrovolskyi 1411
Potapov
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 40% vs Dobrovolskyi 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov +1 · Dobrovolskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 1.40 / Dobrovolskyi 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Potapov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13051539
Potapov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 35 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Dobrovolskyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 48 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovDobrovolskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 394 vs 201 / 41546.2%48.4%182 / 394 vs 201 / 415Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.735.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovPotapov 1.40/Dobrovolskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Potapov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Potapov10
WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113LSep 4 · 12:25O. Budnikov1.61111146113M. Potapov2.2077111152
V. Dobrovolskyi10
LSep 1 · 19:05M. Slozka1.30121011113V. Dobrovolskyi3.401012381LSep 1 · 17:35V. Dobrovolskyi3.2511156732D. Maltsev1.335131111113LSep 1 · 15:35I. Pytsko1.2211119113V. Dobrovolskyi4.00771171LSep 1 · 13:35M. Potapov1.281111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.505460LSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.251171113113V. Dobrovolskyi3.7581181582LSep 1 · 01:30M. Slozka1.361111113V. Dobrovolskyi3.005510LSep 1 · 24:00V. Korobko1.831111113V. Dobrovolskyi1.836560LAug 31 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi1.281111148113V. Dobrovolskyi3.50136121142WAug 29 · 10:25V. Kuzmych1.83661181V. Dobrovolskyi1.8311117113
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