TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362485
Played Aug 5Finished
Andriy Didyk
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511811––––
Roman Bihun
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Bihun to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriy Didyk above · Roman Bihun below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 49 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Roman Bihun at 57.7%
49 points played in total.
H2H Andriy Didyk 1–3 Roman Bihun Andriy Didyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bihun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Bihun
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didyk 1239 vs Bihun 1430
Bihun
Correct
both rated, 191 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didyk 40% vs Bihun 100%
Bihun
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didyk 20% vs Bihun 90%
Bihun
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didyk -3 · Bihun +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bihun) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidyk 2.38 / Bihun 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Bihun)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362485
Didyk2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 48 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 12 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 39
Bihun1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 10 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDidyk1wins
AwayBihun3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBihun leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBihun100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didyk1Bihun3n = 4Bihun took 3 of 4
S2Didyk1Bihun3n = 4Bihun took 3 of 4
S3Didyk3Bihun1n = 4Didyk took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDidykBihunD − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.534.8−4.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidykBihunBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 464 vs 52 / 12246.1%42.6%214 / 464 vs 52 / 122Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.734.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BihunDidyk 2.38/Bihun 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Bihun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk—3580R. Bihun—1111113
LJul 22 · 06:55A. Didyk—471181R. Bihun—11118113
LJan 31 · 08:25A. Didyk—99111132R. Bihun—111148113
WOct 8 · 06:55A. Didyk—1111113R. Bihun—9650
A. Didyk10
WSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133WSep 2 · 09:25A. Didyk1.57127129113O. Melnik2.251011101162WSep 2 · 08:25A. Didyk1.91471211113D. Kozoriz1.80111110882WSep 2 · 06:55A. Didyk1.44113811113O. Maksymkiv2.6391111682WSep 2 · 04:55A. Didyk1.4071112113V. Kheresko2.751181061WSep 1 · 17:55D. Kozoriz1.73881181A. Didyk2.0011112113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Didyk1.611161110113O. Melnik2.2081171262WSep 1 · 15:55A. Didyk1.36911118113V. Kheresko3.0011881162LSep 1 · 14:25A. Didyk2.20611121092K. Tkachenko1.611161012113WSep 1 · 12:25A. Didyk1.731011511183S. Kryvoshyi2.00128119162
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
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