TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12362797
Played Aug 5Finished
Roman Bihun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117411117––
Myhailo Styranets
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Styranets to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Bihun above · Myhailo Styranets below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Myhailo Styranets at 55.8%
68 points played in total.
H2H Roman Bihun 2–2 Myhailo Styranets Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Styranets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bihun 1409 vs Styranets 1359
Bihun
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bihun 80% vs Styranets 60%
Bihun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bihun 80% vs Styranets 30%
Bihun
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bihun -1 · Styranets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Styranets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bihun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBihun 2.10 / Styranets 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Styranets)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12362797
Bihun2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 13 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Styranets1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it80% 65 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBihun2wins
AwayStyranets2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBihunn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayStyranets66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bihun1Styranets3n = 4Styranets took 3 of 4
S2Bihun3Styranets1n = 4Bihun took 3 of 4
S3Bihun2Styranets2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBihunStyranetsB − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.236.8−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBihunStyranetsBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 123 vs 122 / 24342.3%50.2%52 / 123 vs 122 / 243Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StyranetsBihun 2.10/Styranets 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Styranets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 24 · 04:55R. Bihun—1114113M. Styranets—81290
LMay 10 · 06:25R. Bihun—1217311M. Styranets—141511113
LMar 29 · 06:55R. Bihun—10970M. Styranets—1211113
WMar 6 · 06:55R. Bihun—51111113M. Styranets—117961
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113WJul 22 · 10:55R. Bihun1.441111113S. Kryvoshyi2.638670
M. Styranets10
LAug 18 · 18:25K. Tkachenko2.501211113M. Styranets1.5010970LAug 18 · 17:25V. Kheresko3.7541111113M. Styranets1.25119821WAug 18 · 15:55A. Didyk3.50119741M. Styranets1.2871111113LAug 18 · 13:55O. Melnik3.75111197113M. Styranets1.2556111192WAug 18 · 11:55S. Kryvoshyi2.75117381M. Styranets1.4071111113WAug 6 · 18:25V. Hel2.206111251M. Styranets1.6111514113WAug 6 · 17:25A. Didyk3.40135381M. Styranets1.30111111113WAug 6 · 15:55K. Tkachenko2.2011119852M. Styranets1.61991111113WAug 6 · 13:55S. Kryvoshyi2.63118641M. Styranets1.4441111113WAug 6 · 11:55O. Maslovskyi2.104470M. Styranets1.671111113
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