TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12278528
Played Jul 22Finished
Roman Bihun
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Serhii Kryvoshyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeRoman Bihun to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Bihun above · Serhii Kryvoshyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Roman Bihun at 68.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Roman Bihun 8–3 Serhii Kryvoshyi Serhii Kryvoshyi has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bihun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Bihun
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bihun 1404 vs Kryvoshyi 1288
Bihun
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bihun 80% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
Bihun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bihun 70% vs Kryvoshyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bihun +3 · Kryvoshyi -1
Bihun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Bihun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kryvoshyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBihun 1.44 / Kryvoshyi 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Bihun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12278528
Bihun1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 10 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Kryvoshyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 28 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBihun7wins
AwayKryvoshyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBihun leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBihun71.4%5 of 7
AwayKryvoshyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bihun7Kryvoshyi3n = 10Bihun took 7 of 10
S2Bihun6Kryvoshyi4n = 10Bihun took 6 of 10
S3Bihun4Kryvoshyi6n = 10Kryvoshyi took 6 of 10
S4Bihun6Kryvoshyi1n = 7Bihun took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBihunKryvoshyiB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.2+5.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBihunKryvoshyiBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 119 vs 267 / 56841.2%47%49 / 119 vs 267 / 568Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BihunBihun 1.44/Kryvoshyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Bihun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bihun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMar 6 · 11:25R. Bihun—91111113S. Kryvoshyi—118551
WFeb 20 · 13:25R. Bihun—11119123S. Kryvoshyi—8511101
WJan 31 · 06:25R. Bihun—119511113S. Kryvoshyi—81111952
LOct 18 · 14:25R. Bihun—1131051S. Kryvoshyi—7111293
LOct 8 · 04:55R. Bihun—9990S. Kryvoshyi—1111113
WJul 4 · 14:25R. Bihun—71111113S. Kryvoshyi—119581
WFeb 22 · 17:25R. Bihun—11117113S. Kryvoshyi—731131
LFeb 8 · 07:55R. Bihun—11881182S. Kryvoshyi—511119113
WJan 12 · 07:55R. Bihun—1112113S. Kryvoshyi—31080
WJan 4 · 06:25R. Bihun—1113133S. Kryvoshyi—611110
R. Bihun10
LSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970WAug 5 · 11:25V. Hel2.0011104101R. Bihun1.7371211123WAug 5 · 09:55R. Bihun2.1011114113M. Styranets1.67671171LAug 5 · 07:55O. Melnik2.201113113R. Bihun1.6191190WAug 5 · 05:55A. Didyk2.383580R. Bihun1.531111113WAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113
S. Kryvoshyi10
LSep 7 · 05:55H. Oliynyk3.40812711113S. Kryvoshyi1.30111011772WSep 7 · 04:55M. Treschetka4.338670S. Kryvoshyi1.201111113LSep 6 · 18:25S. Kryvoshyi1.40881151O. Maksymkiv2.7511118113LSep 6 · 16:25O. Sapuzhak2.00111011113S. Kryvoshyi1.73812181LSep 6 · 15:25S. Kryvoshyi1.5341111752V. Kheresko2.38118811113WSep 6 · 14:25V. Salivonchyk4.0011115382S. Kryvoshyi1.22591111113WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kryvoshyi1.22111173M. Treschetka4.003520LSep 2 · 10:25S. Kryvoshyi2.0051111111A. Didyk1.7311134133LSep 2 · 08:55S. Kryvoshyi1.251011131062O. Maksymkiv3.751271112113LAug 5 · 04:55S. Kryvoshyi2.7511116862R. Bihun1.40761111113
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