TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440735
Played Aug 16Finished
Yurii Kolos
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811611––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:27 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Kolos above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 58 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 60.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Kolos 4–9 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yurii Kolos has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorsuliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1522 vs Vorsuliak 1553
Vorsuliak
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 20% vs Vorsuliak 60%
Vorsuliak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Vorsuliak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -4 · Vorsuliak +2
Kolos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vorsuliak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.20 / Vorsuliak 1.61
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440735
Kolos2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 9 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Vorsuliak1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 84 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayVorsuliak8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos66.7%2 of 3
AwayVorsuliak100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S2Kolos6Vorsuliak4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S4Kolos1Vorsuliak5n = 6Vorsuliak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosVorsuliakK − VBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.238.4−6.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 94 vs 437 / 87147.9%50.2%45 / 94 vs 437 / 871Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKolos 2.20/Vorsuliak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 16 · 13:05Y. Kolos—10860Y. Vorsuliak—1211113
LJul 19 · 19:05Y. Kolos—12116732Y. Vorsuliak—1061111113
LJun 21 · 14:05Y. Kolos—9111021Y. Vorsuliak—11212113
LJun 14 · 19:05Y. Kolos—51111792Y. Vorsuliak—119911113
WJun 8 · 04:35Y. Kolos—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10580
LJun 7 · 19:05Y. Kolos—8380Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LJun 7 · 17:10Y. Kolos—6950Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LFeb 6 · 06:05Y. Kolos—491581Y. Vorsuliak—111113113
WFeb 5 · 14:35Y. Kolos—12119113Y. Vorsuliak—1091181
LDec 29 · 12:05Y. Kolos—911661Y. Vorsuliak—11811113
Y. Kolos10
WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113LAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171LAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113
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