TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078905
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111412411511––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 53–36 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 36 of their 89 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zharskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-36 in 89
Zharskiy
Wrong
gap of 17 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1628 vs Slozka 1676
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 0% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 20% vs Slozka 50%
Slozka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -5 · Slozka +1
Zharskiy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.73 / Slozka 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slozka)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13078905
Zharskiy1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Slozka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 135 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back27% 37 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy100%4 of 4
AwaySlozka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Zharskiy2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S3Zharskiy6Slozka4n = 10Zharskiy took 6 of 10
S4Zharskiy1Slozka3n = 4Slozka took 3 of 4
S5Zharskiy3Slozka0n = 3Zharskiy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiySlozkaZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.334.7−3.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiySlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 558 vs 376 / 83849.3%44.9%275 / 558 vs 376 / 838Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaZharskiy 1.73/Slozka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 13 · 23:15V. Zharskiy—51120V. Slozka—1113113
LJun 2 · 21:00V. Zharskiy—851131V. Slozka—11114113
WFeb 5 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111113V. Slozka—5570
LFeb 4 · 18:05V. Zharskiy—7620V. Slozka—1111113
LFeb 4 · 24:00V. Zharskiy—5550V. Slozka—1111113
WJan 8 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111123V. Slozka—59100
WJan 7 · 14:05V. Zharskiy—971111173V. Slozka—111154152
WJan 7 · 01:30V. Zharskiy—116127113V. Slozka—611101172
LDec 4 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—5880V. Slozka—1111113
WDec 3 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—116119113V. Slozka—511711102
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113WSep 3 · 03:00A. Romanenko1.531110971V. Slozka2.3891211113
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