TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234163
Played Jul 16Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118611119211611
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 54–35 Roman Konkulovskyi Roman Konkulovskyi has won 35 of their 89 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Zharskiy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.36 / Konkulovskyi 3.00
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Zharskiy)-10.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #12234163
Zharskiy1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 100 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it82% 75 of 91
Konkulovskyi3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 125 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back24% 42 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy9wins
AwayKonkulovskyi1wins
Zharskiy leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy100%9 of 9
AwayKonkulovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy9Konkulovskyi1n = 10Zharskiy took 9 of 10
S2Zharskiy8Konkulovskyi2n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S3Zharskiy8Konkulovskyi2n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyKonkulovskyiZ − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match34.022.3+11.7per matchSweeps71+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 630 vs 277 / 56248.6%49.3%306 / 630 vs 277 / 562Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyZharskiy 1.36/Konkulovskyi 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 02:00V. Zharskiy—51090R. Konkulovskyi—1112113
WJun 18 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111123R. Konkulovskyi—44100
WJun 14 · 02:15V. Zharskiy—11128113R. Konkulovskyi—0101171
WJun 11 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—5560
WJun 10 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—2080
WJun 10 · 02:00V. Zharskiy—1112133R. Konkulovskyi—910110
WJun 4 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111123R. Konkulovskyi—98100
WJun 3 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—6380
WMay 27 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—1211113R. Konkulovskyi—10440
WMay 26 · 22:30V. Zharskiy—11411113R. Konkulovskyi—811241
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113
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