TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234235
Played Jul 16Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811611––––
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 32–47 Serhii Maksymiv Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 32 of their 79 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.25 / Maksymiv 1.57
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Maksymiv)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234235
Zharskiy2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Maksymiv1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 171 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it93% 88 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it76% 126 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy5wins
AwayMaksymiv5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy75%3 of 4
AwayMaksymiv66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy4Maksymiv6n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S2Zharskiy4Maksymiv6n = 10Maksymiv took 6 of 10
S3Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S4Zharskiy4Maksymiv0n = 4Zharskiy took 4 of 4
S5Zharskiy2Maksymiv1n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyMaksymivZ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.235.5−1.3per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 631 vs 430 / 71648.5%60.1%306 / 631 vs 430 / 716Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivZharskiy 2.25/Maksymiv 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maksymiv won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy—1111113S. Maksymiv—8970
LJul 14 · 23:00V. Zharskiy—8780S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 18 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—911911113S. Maksymiv—11711882
LJun 11 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—16891182S. Maksymiv—1411117113
WJun 10 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113S. Maksymiv—5890
LJun 10 · 24:30V. Zharskiy—7160S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 4 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—1081111113S. Maksymiv—12115692
WJun 3 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—11117143S. Maksymiv—4811121
LJun 2 · 22:30V. Zharskiy—6560S. Maksymiv—1111113
LMay 28 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—7990S. Maksymiv—1111113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641LJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
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