TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12234213
Played Jul 16Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811411––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 14–22 Ihor Sukovatyi Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 14 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.25 / Sukovatyi 1.57
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234213
Zharskiy2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 67 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Sukovatyi1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 158 of 256
Up 2–0, closes it96% 80 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it83% 120 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy2wins
AwaySukovatyi8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwaySukovatyi100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Zharskiy3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Zharskiy3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Zharskiy1Sukovatyi4n = 5Sukovatyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiySukovatyiZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.938.8−7.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiySukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 632 vs 195 / 34748.4%56.2%306 / 632 vs 195 / 347Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiZharskiy 2.25/Sukovatyi 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy—5840I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LJul 15 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—712117122I. Sukovatyi—1110911143
LJul 14 · 20:00V. Zharskiy—1118691I. Sukovatyi—72011113
LJun 18 · 05:05V. Zharskiy—415871I. Sukovatyi—111311113
LJun 13 · 21:45V. Zharskiy—5470I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WJun 9 · 21:30V. Zharskiy—1181011113I. Sukovatyi—61112572
WJun 4 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—1211113I. Sukovatyi—10690
LJun 3 · 02:30V. Zharskiy—3540I. Sukovatyi—1111113
LMay 27 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—981171I. Sukovatyi—11117113
LMay 27 · 02:30V. Zharskiy—9350I. Sukovatyi—1111113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191
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