Vitaliy Zharskiy vs Oleksandr Pohonov 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12234294

Played Jul 16Finished

Vitaliy Zharskiy

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

3111179111012––

Oleksandr Pohonov

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Oleksandr Pohonov below

Set 1 · 3-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 10-12

Point 74 set 4, 10-12

74 points played in total.

H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 18–12 Oleksandr Pohonov Oleksandr Pohonov has won 12 of their 30 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pohonov)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pohonov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZharskiy 1.67 / Pohonov 2.10

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Pohonov)+9.8pp

Setka Cup · #12234294

Zharskiy1.67

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite63% won 99 of 157

Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51

Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90

Pohonov2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog48% won 28 of 58

Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZharskiy7wins

AwayPohonov3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZharskiy85.7%6 of 7

AwayPohonov66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zharskiy7Pohonov3n = 10Zharskiy took 7 of 10

S2Zharskiy6Pohonov4n = 10Zharskiy took 6 of 10

S3Zharskiy6Pohonov4n = 10Zharskiy took 6 of 10

S4Zharskiy5Pohonov1n = 6Zharskiy took 5 of 6

S5Zharskiy1Pohonov2n = 3Pohonov took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricZharskiyPohonovZ − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.8+5.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZharskiyPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 627 vs 190 / 34548.8%55.1%306 / 627 vs 190 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pohonov

Zharskiy 1.67/Pohonov 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Pohonov · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Pohonov won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 15 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—61181492O. Pohonov—1161112113

LJul 14 · 21:30V. Zharskiy—6880O. Pohonov—1111113

WJun 18 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—11911113O. Pohonov—611881

WJun 13 · 20:15V. Zharskiy—11711113O. Pohonov—911631

WMay 28 · 08:35V. Zharskiy—1111113O. Pohonov—8570

WMay 26 · 23:30V. Zharskiy—111110123O. Pohonov—6912101

WMay 20 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113O. Pohonov—3640

WMay 19 · 21:00V. Zharskiy—1111123O. Pohonov—95100

LMay 13 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—13911392O. Pohonov—1111911113

WMay 12 · 21:30V. Zharskiy—911511113O. Pohonov—11811782

V. Zharskiy10

WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121 LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113 WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981 LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113 LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113 LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113 LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113 LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113 LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113 WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970

O. Pohonov10

WSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113 LSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113 LSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492 WSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113 WSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113 LSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101 WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530 LSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031 WSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123 LSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191

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