TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079198
Played Sep 6Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111141141412––
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 70 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 62.3%
70 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 55–36 Roman Konkulovskyi Roman Konkulovskyi has won 36 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zharskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-36 in 91
Zharskiy
Correct
gap of 19 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1617 vs Konkulovskyi 1658
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 20% vs Konkulovskyi 40%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 20% vs Konkulovskyi 40%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -1 · Konkulovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Zharskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zharskiy form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.40 / Konkulovskyi 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Zharskiy)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079198
Zharskiy1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Konkulovskyi2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 121 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 170
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy8wins
AwayKonkulovskyi2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy88.9%8 of 9
AwayKonkulovskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy9Konkulovskyi1n = 10Zharskiy took 9 of 10
S2Zharskiy8Konkulovskyi2n = 10Zharskiy took 8 of 10
S3Zharskiy7Konkulovskyi3n = 10Zharskiy took 7 of 10
S4Zharskiy2Konkulovskyi1n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyKonkulovskyiZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match34.927.0+7.9per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 562 vs 336 / 67649.1%49.7%276 / 562 vs 336 / 676Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyZharskiy 1.40/Konkulovskyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.7%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zharskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy—11611262R. Konkulovskyi—811911113
WJul 15 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—12118133R. Konkulovskyi—10811111
LJul 15 · 02:00V. Zharskiy—51090R. Konkulovskyi—1112113
WJun 18 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111123R. Konkulovskyi—44100
WJun 14 · 02:15V. Zharskiy—11128113R. Konkulovskyi—0101171
WJun 11 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—5560
WJun 10 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—2080
WJun 10 · 02:00V. Zharskiy—1112133R. Konkulovskyi—910110
WJun 4 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—1111123R. Konkulovskyi—98100
WJun 3 · 16:35V. Zharskiy—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—6380
V. Zharskiy10
LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
R. Konkulovskyi10
WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113
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