TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006752
Played Aug 26Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811211911––––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 57.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 8–12 Vitalii Krokhmal Roman Konkulovskyi has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:07What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1717 vs Krokhmal 1732
Krokhmal
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -3 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.10 / Krokhmal 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006752
Konkulovskyi2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 132 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Krokhmal1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 42 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
Krokhmal leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi60%3 of 5
AwayKrokhmal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S2Konkulovskyi2Krokhmal8n = 10Krokhmal took 8 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Konkulovskyi4Krokhmal4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalKonkulovskyi − KrokhmalBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.736.9−3.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 668 vs 143 / 30450%47%334 / 668 vs 143 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalKonkulovskyi 2.10/Krokhmal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—1191051V. Krokhmal—61112113
LAug 18 · 21:30R. Konkulovskyi—471191V. Krokhmal—11119113
LAug 17 · 01:45R. Konkulovskyi—4980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WAug 16 · 01:43R. Konkulovskyi—11711123V. Krokhmal—8116101
WAug 15 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi—11411113V. Krokhmal—811691
LAug 13 · 08:05R. Konkulovskyi—115611V. Krokhmal—51111113
LAug 12 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi—79110V. Krokhmal—1111133
WAug 11 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi—71115113V. Krokhmal—1131361
LAug 8 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi—6612121V. Krokhmal—111110143
WAug 6 · 11:05R. Konkulovskyi—11119113V. Krokhmal—981151
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520
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